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Tolerance interval : ウィキペディア英語版
Tolerance interval

A tolerance interval is a statistical interval within which, with some confidence level, a specified proportion of a sampled population falls. "More specifically, a 100×p%/100×(1−α) tolerance interval provides limits within which at least a certain proportion (p) of the population falls with a given level of confidence (1−α)."〔D. S. Young (2010), Book Reviews: "Statistical Tolerance Regions: Theory, Applications, and Computation", TECHNOMETRICS, FEBRUARY 2010, VOL. 52, NO. 1, pp.143-144.〕 "A (p, 1−α) tolerance interval (TI) based on a sample is constructed so that it would include at least a proportion p of the sampled population with confidence 1−α; such a TI is usually referred to as p-content − (1−α) coverage TI."〔Krishnamoorthy, K. and Lian, Xiaodong(2011) 'Closed-form approximate tolerance intervals for some general linear models and comparison studies', Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation,, First published on: 13 June 2011 〕 "A (p, 1−α) upper tolerance limit (TL) is simply an 1−α upper confidence limit for the 100 p percentile of the population."〔
A tolerance interval can be seen as a statistical version of a probability interval. "In the parameters-known case, a 95% tolerance interval and a 95% prediction interval are the same." If we knew a population's exact parameters, we would be able to compute a range within which a certain proportion of the population falls. For example, if we know a population is normally distributed with mean \mu and standard deviation \sigma, then the interval \mu \pm 1.96\sigma includes 95% of the population (1.96 is the z-score for 95% coverage of a normally distributed population).
However, if we have only a sample from the population, we know only the sample mean \hat and sample standard deviation \hat, which are only estimates of the true parameters. In that case, \hat \pm 1.96\hat will not necessarily include 95% of the population, due to variance in these estimates. A tolerance interval bounds this variance by introducing a confidence level \gamma, which is the confidence with which this interval actually includes the specified proportion of the population. For a normally distributed population, a z-score can be transformed into a "''k'' factor" or tolerance factor〔(【引用サイトリンク】publisher= ISO 16269-6 )〕 for a given \gamma via lookup tables or several approximation formulas. "As the degrees of freedom approach infinity, the prediction and tolerance intervals become equal."
==Formulas==


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